Sports from the Basement

Saratoga Horse Racing Picks for Friday, August 23, 2019

August 23, 2019 Saratoga Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Jen’s Battle 8.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Deeply Analytical 2.50 6.1 12-1
4 3 Stretchthestory 6.00 7.4 14-1
3 2 A Freud of Mama 10.00 7.8 15-1
9 8 Single Verse 4.00 7.8 15-1
8 7 American Song 12.00 7.9 15-1
5 4 Ava K’s Girl 10.00 8.7 16-1
11 10 Desbordes 8.00 9 17-1
6 5 Unicorn Sally 12.00 10.8 20-1
10 9 Lil Morning Star 30.00 10.9 21-1
2 2 Moana’s Tale 4.50 SCRATCH
12 12 Eli Rocks 15.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Tales I Winit 8.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Bellamy Bigs 30.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Keypit 12.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Rewarded 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Waynes Footsteps 3.50 6.6 12-1
5 5 My Primo 15.00 8.4 16-1
4 4 Jimmy Jazz 4.00 8.5 16-1
2 2 Crazy Life 3.50 8.7 16-1
6 6 Daring Disguise 4.00 8.7 16-1
1 1 Catorat 12.00 9.1 17-1
9 8 Constructor 30.00 10.6 20-1
8A 7 Klickitat 3.00 12.7 24-1
7 7 Masterprize 50.00 SCRATCH
10A 10 Overland 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Fleet Indian S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Kid Is Frosty 3.50 5.2 10-1
4 4 Wait a Minute 6.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Behind the Couch 2.50 6.5 12-1
2 2 Newly Minted 1.20 6.7 13-1
1 1 Maiden Beauty 8.00 6.8 13-1
3 3 Elegant Zip 15.00 9.7 18-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Lord Camden 4.00 6.8 13-1
9 8 Three Jokers 6.00 7 13-1
2 2 Solar Fire 12.00 9 17-1
5 5 Austrian 15.00 9.1 17-1
1 1 True Grace 5.00 10.9 21-1
6 6 Tapizearance 15.00 11.3 21-1
8 7 Scilly Cay 2.50 11.4 22-1
10 9 Hold My Call 10.00 12.2 23-1
3 3 Kampai 12.00 15.2 29-1
7 7 Stone Hearted 8.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Sir Ludlow 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Yaddo S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 4 Munchkin Money 3.00 4.8 9-1
2 1 English Soul 4.00 4.9 9-1
3 2 Wegetsdamunnys 5.00 6.6 12-1
9 6 Kreesie 12.00 7.4 14-1
7 5 Held Accountable 20.00 9.1 17-1
4 3 Belle of the Spa 30.00 9.3 17-1
1 1 Fifty Five 1.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Take Charge Aubrey 1.80 SCRATCH
8 8 Out of Orbit 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 2 Red Zinger 3.00 5.1 10-1
6 4 Remstin 12.00 7 13-1
10 7 Bourbon Mission 5.00 7 13-1
5 3 Preferred Outcome 12.00 7.5 14-1
11 8 Veterans Beach 5.00 7.8 15-1
7 5 Constant Knight 10.00 9.5 18-1
12 9 Call Me Harry 3.50 9.7 18-1
3 1 Rockin Jo 12.00 9.7 18-1
9 6 Joe’s Smokin Gun 15.00 9.9 19-1
1 1 Brockmoninoff 12.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Bears Mafia 4.50 SCRATCH
8 8 Bassman Dave 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Seeking The Ante S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Time Limit 10.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Fierce Lady 1.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Violent Point 5.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 My Italian Rabbi 2.00 6.3 12-1
4 4 Wharf Cat 20.00 9.4 18-1
2 2 Big Q 6.00 9.6 18-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Funny Cide S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Listentoyourheart 3.50 5.6 10-1
6 6 Theitalianamerican 10.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Mission Wrapitup 5.00 6.1 12-1
8 8 Sky of Hook 4.00 7.6 14-1
3 3 City Man 3.00 8.7 16-1
7 7 Cleon Jones 8.00 8.8 17-1
1 1 Bull of Bayern 12.00 9.3 18-1
5 5 Opportunist 10.00 10 19-1
2 2 No Lime 15.00 10.8 20-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – West Point S. Presented By Trustco Bank

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Offering Plan 1.60 4 7-1
8 7 Dot Matrix 4.50 5.6 10-1
1 1 Therapist 2.50 6 11-1
6 6 Everyonelovesjames 20.00 7.1 13-1
5 5 Mo Maverick 12.00 7.8 15-1
4 4 Rapt 12.00 8.5 16-1
2 2 Hoboe 10.00 8.7 16-1
7 7 Voodoo Song 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Albany S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Blindwillie McTell 4.50 3.7 7-1
6 5 Funny Guy 6.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Bankit 3.50 5.7 11-1
8 7 Just Right 6.00 5.8 11-1
10 9 Kazmania 15.00 6.5 12-1
7 6 Not That Brady 2.50 7.1 13-1
9 8 Doups Point 8.00 7.2 14-1
1 1 Daddy Knows 12.00 7.3 14-1
3 3 Dancers for Token 30.00 8.6 16-1
4 4 Make Motime 50.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 8 Mr. Vincent 8.00 3.6 7-1
9 7 The Happy Giant 4.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Wacky Pal 1.40 4.3 8-1
11 9 Curlin’s Legacy 10.00 4.4 8-1
12 10 Millies Party Boy 8.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Sobersick N Sorry 15.00 5.3 10-1
6 5 Big Wonder 15.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 Moo Lah 15.00 6.8 13-1
5 5 Determined One 12.00 SCRATCH
8 6 Icey Cash 20.00 8.2 16-1
1 1 Herecomesthejudge 30.00 8.5 16-1
7 7 Ridolfo 8.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Awesome Adversary 2.50 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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