Sports from the Basement

Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Friday, August 23, 2019

August 23, 2019 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Ettas Lil Jet 2.50 2.6 5-1
1 1 Escandalo 4.50 2.7 5-1
4 4 Jess Coronalene 3.50 3.2 6-1
2 2 Jettin Miss Dee 4.50 3.3 6-1
3 3 Apollitical B Strong 4.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Stand for the Flag 5.00 3.5 7-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Gp Won Special Cooki 3.50 2.4 4-1
1 1 Dashing Forthe Money 5.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Cartel Majic 8.00 4.5 8-1
4 4 Shut Up and Fish 6.00 4.5 9-1
9 9 Seven Point Three 3.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Mda Game 6.00 5.1 10-1
8 8 Ellepradas Jumbo Jet 20.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 Watch My Booty 8.00 5.9 11-1
6 6 Game On Vince 10.00 6.8 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Lrh Black Dog 3.00 2.9 5-1
6 6 Tres Palacios 4.50 3 6-1
3 3 Provocatives Dashin 2.50 3.4 6-1
1 1 Racing Kane 6.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Jrs Runaway Ego 8.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Ldn Jessasaltydog 6.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Already Platinum 12.00 5.7 11-1
8 8 Buds World 12.00 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Raineys Game 3.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 We Gota Jewel 8.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Patriotsnblue 3.50 3.8 7-1
1 1 Gorgeous Leon 15.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Mr Dance Pilot 12.00 4.5 8-1
7 6 Rawhide Piloto 4.50 4.9 9-1
8 7 Oh Kee Jess 10.00 5.2 10-1
9 8 Fast Lady Rocks 12.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Pm Zuppardo 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Tf Lil Black Runaway 4.50 2.1 4-1
2 2 Sheza Rare Stoli 5.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Tm Candy Crusher 8.00 4.3 8-1
10 10 Prove a Point 6.00 4.4 8-1
9 9 Rakin Somekinda Cash 4.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Foxtrot Oscar 8.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Miss Dashing Coors 5.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Jrs Speed Fantasy 12.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 Ohthreefiftyone 12.00 6.5 12-1
5 5 Panther On the Beach 15.00 6.9 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Strike a Bye Bye 4.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Paint My Train 3.50 3.5 7-1
3 3 Jj Filly Er Perry 8.00 4.1 8-1
10 10 Shine and Jump 4.50 4.2 8-1
9 9 Rkm Five Bar Gamer 6.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 McKinleys Grace 6.00 5 9-1
5 5 Geaux Jo Go 15.00 5.4 10-1
8 8 Az Fast Dash 12.00 6.1 12-1
2 2 Louisiana Memory 15.00 6.7 13-1
4 4 Sheza Stoli Panther 20.00 8.1 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Black 214 3.00 2.2 4-1
9 9 Bang Bang Hot 4.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 A Political Pickle 8.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Tf Eyes Plain Strutn 4.50 4.7 9-1
6 6 Zoom Royally 8.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Brooklynns Finest 12.00 4.8 9-1
10 10 Coronas Runawaywagon 8.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Man He Fresh 12.00 5.3 10-1
8 8 Rh Mandys First Moon 12.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 Kings Extreme Queen 12.00 7.3 14-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 9 Mightey Mouse 3.00 1.5 3-1
1 1 Kingzridge 5.00 3.1 6-1
9 8 Msg Make Us Proud 8.00 3.7 7-1
5 4 Sheza Blue Fireball 4.50 3.8 7-1
2 2 Leap Year Kash 5.00 4.1 8-1
6 5 Coronas Magic Rose 12.00 5.1 10-1
8 7 Stolis Achievements 6.00 5.7 11-1
7 6 La Jolla Fast Cash 20.00 7 13-1
4 3 Rakin in the Jewels 20.00 7.1 13-1
3 3 Hqh Runaway Dash 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Fdd Abcallie Grand 6.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Apollitical Heir 6.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Valiant Neon 4.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Coronastripleking 3.50 3.6 7-1
5 5 Fly the Eagle 6.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Juanells Fireball 8.00 3.9 7-1
9 9 Sheza Foose Chick 5.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Lovin a Rayne Knight 10.00 5.9 11-1
8 8 Jf Cash Fantasy 12.00 7.1 13-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Gbh Train 3.00 1.8 3-1
8 8 Tlc Jumpin Gidget 4.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Msm Another Patriot 5.00 3.7 7-1
10 10 Triniti 12.00 5 9-1
1 1 Shes So Valiant 12.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Perry Patriotic 5.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Lynn Loves Blue 8.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Jnj Coronas Paint 12.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Brileys Patriot 12.00 5.9 11-1
7 7 This Games Famous 12.00 6.2 12-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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