Sports from the Basement

Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, August 22, 2019

August 22, 2019 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Bold Blue Ruler 1.40 2.1 4-1
9 9 Carterslouisianablue 6.00 2.5 5-1
7 7 Tee Warlock 5.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Ah Louisiana 8.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Tf High Kick Runaway 4.50 5.1 10-1
6 6 Miss Neesie 12.00 5.2 10-1
8 8 Sizzlin Loose 12.00 6.1 11-1
3 3 Lightnin Fast Wagon 20.00 6.5 12-1
2 2 Pass the Day 20.00 6.9 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 Im Mighty Fast 3.50 2.6 5-1
8 7 Dark Bark 10.00 2.6 5-1
6 5 Rio Rojo Cosino 4.00 2.9 6-1
2 1 Rakin in the Jax 3.00 3.1 6-1
4 3 Tm Dees Shine 4.00 4.9 9-1
5 4 Love You Blue 12.00 5.2 10-1
7 6 Agoutis Snowplow 6.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Lachule Pyc 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Ouachita Special 6.00 3.2 6-1
8 8 Rf Sheza Fast Duck 3.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Jess a Swinging Star 10.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Senorita Patriot 6.00 5 9-1
2 2 Jess an Kickin Idea 12.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Do U Boo 4.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Bellas Best Bet 5.00 5.2 10-1
9 9 Razzgonabegoni 12.00 6 11-1
7 7 Carry On Curl 12.00 6.1 12-1
10 10 Darlene Shez Flying 20.00 7.4 14-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Ttt Little Oreo 3.50 2.6 5-1
10 10 Wattle 2.50 2.9 5-1
2 2 Fk Struttin Mama 10.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 Mr Manuel 4.50 3.5 7-1
3 3 Shiny Regent 8.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Cajun Gray Patriot 15.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Above the Bar 12.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Quicks Blue Print 10.00 5.9 11-1
6 6 Jcrainaway 20.00 6.6 12-1
9 9 Tg Onehondred Stars 12.00 6.6 12-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Jls Real Cos 10.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Alas Caliente 4.00 4 8-1
5 5 Cartels Angel 4.50 4.2 8-1
1 1 Blue Corona High 3.50 5 9-1
2 2 Sista Sara 10.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Pk Fast Kisses 6.00 5.3 10-1
9 9 Hez Sizzling 10.00 5.4 10-1
8 8 Da Wire Cartel 10.00 5.9 11-1
7 7 Fast Southern Prize 12.00 6.2 12-1
3 3 All Wild Women Will 12.00 6.5 12-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 Streakin Train B 3.00 1.5 3-1
9 8 Text Me Texas 8.00 3.5 7-1
6 5 Jet Blacks Game 4.00 4.1 8-1
7 6 Sheza Dashn Warrior 12.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Toast to Jet Black 4.50 4.5 9-1
10 9 Tf La Patrona 8.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Jessfiredup 12.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Train in Vain 12.00 5.8 11-1
5 4 Leaving You Special 15.00 6.6 12-1
4 4 Toast to Monee 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Stolis Imperial 12.00 3 6-1
4 4 Jj Freighttrain B 4.50 3.5 7-1
3 3 Boobookitty 3.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Scaglietti 8.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Jess Kool It 4.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Rf Stolionthedelta 6.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Vf Ought to Go Rogue 12.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Sergeant Sizzle 8.00 5.7 11-1
9 9 Zee Strike 12.00 5.7 11-1
10 10 Tlc Sinner 20.00 6.8 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Iona Ec 3.50 2.2 4-1
1 1 Captain Valentine 3.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Mighty Pocket Rocket 6.00 3.9 7-1
10 9 Boozin and Cruzin 5.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Fixin Too 6.00 4.9 9-1
8 7 Pieper 12.00 5.1 10-1
9 8 Jrs Natural Runaway 8.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Deisel Freight Train 20.00 5.8 11-1
7 6 Razzatoni 10.00 6.8 13-1
6 6 Non Stop Patriot 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Force of Anakin 3.00 2.5 5-1
7 7 Jet Black Design 8.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 A Classy Pool 8.00 4.5 8-1
6 6 Sir Eye Opener 12.00 4.6 9-1
9 9 Sea Yacht Dash 5.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Mya Patriot 6.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Runaways Attitude 8.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Louisiana Lighting 4.00 5.9 11-1
10 10 Royal Renegade 10.00 6.5 12-1
5 5 Dee Duck 20.00 7.9 15-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Loves It 2.50 2.5 5-1
3 3 Southernpatriotlass 6.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Fast Fancy Doll 4.50 3.6 7-1
4 4 Leaders Luna Eclipse 8.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Lolo Jones Black 8.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Jess Tolltac 8.00 5.9 11-1
8 8 Sheza Happy Streaker 12.00 6 11-1
10 10 Apollitical Runaway 12.00 6.1 12-1
2 2 Eyes a Runaway Dash 8.00 6.3 12-1
7 7 The Grande Finale 15.00 6.8 13-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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