Sports from the Basement

Del Mar Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, August 22, 2019

August 22, 2019 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Swirling 2.50 1.9 3-1
3 3 G Q Covergirl 2.00 2 4-1
5 5 Dearborn 5.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 South Boot Shirley 6.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Rebarules Again 3.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Cyrielle 10.00 5.1 10-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Unicorn 1.20 1.5 3-1
6 6 True Mischief 6.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Pink Scatillac 15.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Crystal Lake 1.60 3.4 7-1
5 5 Carressa 6.00 4.5 9-1
2 2 Full Eclipse 15.00 4.7 9-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Staythirstymyamigo 2.50 2.7 5-1
3 3 Time for Kisses 5.00 2.9 5-1
1 1 Be Lifted Up 2.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Bam Bams Lil River 6.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Thanks 2.50 3.8 7-1
5 5 Discrete Stevie B 15.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 Shes All Woman 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Leroy 3.50 2.9 5-1
2 2 Royal Creed 6.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Toothless Wonder 3.00 4 7-1
8 8 Verynsky 3.50 4.1 8-1
1 1 Union Rebel 4.00 5.2 10-1
9 9 Torpedo Away 20.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 Trapper Peak 12.00 6.2 12-1
7 7 Handsome John 15.00 6.7 13-1
6 6 Smokin B 12.00 7.5 14-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Lemon King 5.00 3.5 7-1
9 9 Fantasy Game 3.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 One Fast Bro 2.50 3.7 7-1
1 1 Fly the Sky 8.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Handsome Cat 5.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Whispering Flame 5.00 4.5 9-1
6 6 Blues Rapper 10.00 4.5 9-1
7 7 Descartes 20.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 Canyon Crest 20.00 5.9 11-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Show It N Moe It 1.80 2.1 4-1
3 3 Qahira 2.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Mo See Cal 1.60 3.3 6-1
4 4 Tiz Wild Wind 10.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Watch Me Burn 10.00 3.6 7-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Radish 3.00 2 4-1
8 8 Apache Pass 2.50 2.3 4-1
2 2 Miss Indefatigable 4.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Slew South 6.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Live It Well 6.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Darling Demon 10.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Put Her On Hold 20.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Concise Advice 8.00 5.5 10-1
9 9 Si Mamacita 0.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Spanish Channel 0.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Goddess Aphrodite 0.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Reffine 0.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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