Sports from the Basement

Arlington Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, August 22, 2019

August 22, 2019 Arlington Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Mind Trappe 2.50 2.3 4-1
5 5 Liberal Lunacy 1.80 3.4 7-1
1 1 Sacramento Q 6.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Into My Dreams 3.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Willow Ridge 8.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Z U Soon 30.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 B Salty 10.00 4.8 9-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Of Note 3.00 1.7 3-1
7 6 Expressly 2.50 3.3 6-1
5 4 Bahama Kitten 4.00 3.4 7-1
2 2 Kalispell 20.00 3.7 7-1
6 5 Spender 3.50 4.1 8-1
4 4 Goddess of Kip 15.00 SCRATCH
1 1 First Hoosier 6.00 5.8 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Tiz Susan Ann 2.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Strong Mandy 3.00 2.9 5-1
3 3 Madam Novetzke 5.00 3 6-1
5 5 Phoenix Attack 5.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Hook Her Up 6.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Columbia Clipper 8.00 4.7 9-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Joyful Night 5.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Hammered 12.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Hidenseek Sally 8.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Looktheotherway 1.80 4.1 8-1
6 6 Belle Brezing 5.00 4.1 8-1
9 8 Meeka 10.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Gemini Journey 3.50 4.4 8-1
8 8 Hetty G. 20.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Aviating 20.00 7.6 14-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Another Mystery 2.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Baroque 6.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 Ioya Again 3.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Heisfancy 20.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Luck of the Draw 10.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 You Split Tens 3.50 4.8 9-1
8 8 Andreas 6.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Zanforce 20.00 6.4 12-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Mind for Mischief 12.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 New Rules 8.00 3.6 7-1
11 10 Bonita Bay 2.00 3.6 7-1
6 5 Templuna 6.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Quality too Spare 20.00 SCRATCH
8 7 Lena Horne 4.50 5.1 10-1
1 1 Rare Action Attack 20.00 5.9 11-1
10 9 I Love to Race 20.00 5.9 11-1
9 8 Lucky I Guess 6.00 6.3 12-1
2 2 Lady C 20.00 6.4 12-1
7 6 Blanca Rose 8.00 7.9 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 8 Half of Manhattan 5.00 2.9 6-1
3 2 Purely Boy 6.00 3 6-1
6 5 Storminside 15.00 3.9 7-1
4 3 Cat’s Runaway 8.00 4.6 9-1
8 7 Frost Or Frippery 2.50 4.7 9-1
1 1 Pistol Box 15.00 SCRATCH
5 4 Opportunistic 4.00 5.1 10-1
2 1 Risky Town 4.50 5.5 10-1
7 6 Fort Dixie 12.00 7.1 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 5 Wills Defence 6.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Meanbone 5.00 SCRATCH
10 7 Welovecandy 3.50 4.7 9-1
2 2 Boom Box 5.00 4.9 9-1
9 6 M C Squared 15.00 4.9 9-1
11 8 Bajan Rhythm 10.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Flyingbyu 30.00 SCRATCH
3 3 He’s Dann Good 6.00 5.4 10-1
12 9 A J’s Posse 20.00 6.2 12-1
1 1 Savie 20.00 7.6 14-1
5 4 Boston Charley 6.00 8.1 15-1
8 8 Franklin County 30.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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