Sports from the Basement

Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, May 18, 2019

May 18, 2019 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Rockyroadto Dublin 10.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Typically 3.00 1.7 3-1
6 5 Lilibet 2.00 1.7 3-1
4 4 Capoeira 3.50 2.2 4-1
1 1 One Moon 6.00 2.4 4-1
7 6 Munnings Beach 8.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Fleck 20.00 2.9 6-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Nashville Knight 3.00 1.8 3-1
7 7 Tale of the Nile 8.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Marten River 8.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Forest Brother 1.20 2.4 4-1
4 4 Majestic Slew 20.00 2.9 6-1
6 6 Forester’s Forum 12.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Spanish Express 5.00 3.5 7-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Selene S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Bold Script 0.80 1.2 2-1
2 2 Power Gal (JPN) 3.00 1.7 3-1
1 1 Souper Charlotte 2.50 1.7 3-1
3 3 Preferred Guest 12.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Above All Names 12.00 3.1 6-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Pink Scribbles 1.60 1.3 3-1
1 1 Miss Ariel 4.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Peace Control 6.00 2.4 4-1
3 3 Nearly Missed 5.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Fine Lady 8.00 2.9 6-1
8 8 Sayso 10.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Souper Pecan 20.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Vinyasa 15.00 4 8-1
7 7 Cara Lucia 20.00 4.8 9-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Megalin Candy 6.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Diamond Express 2.50 1.6 3-1
5 5 A B Codeofhonor 3.00 1.7 3-1
6 6 Conquest Rapiduno 10.00 2.2 4-1
9 8 Zlatica 8.00 3 6-1
7 7 Sweet Retreat 20.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Li’l Miss Trouble 3.50 3.3 6-1
2 2 Spanish Blessing 20.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Crumlin Express 10.00 3.6 7-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Fire for Effect 2.00 2 4-1
7 7 Shakhimat 4.00 2 4-1
1 1 Special Forces 2.50 2.1 4-1
6 6 O’Kratos 6.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Freitag 8.00 2.4 5-1
2 2 Cooler Mike 15.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 King and His Court 12.00 3.6 7-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Sir Sahib 1.80 1.1 2-1
5 5 Artistico 3.00 1.8 3-1
8 8 Baytown Jimbo 4.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Courtly Manner 10.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Coleyville 6.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Western Crusader 8.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Tale of Vienna 15.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Tinker Ring 20.00 4.2 8-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Tappitty Tappitty 2.50 1.4 3-1
4 4 Miss Behave 1.60 1.8 3-1
1 1 Maritime Breeze 15.00 2.4 5-1
5 5 Amalfi Coast 6.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 Street Zapper 4.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Ready and Perfect 8.00 2.9 5-1
3 3 Canary Song 20.00 3.4 6-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Battle of Yorktown 8.00 SCRATCH
7 6 Victor’s Destiny 2.50 1.4 3-1
3 3 Gottoknowrightnow 3.00 1.7 3-1
6 5 Hungary 20.00 2.4 4-1
9 8 A Mi Dat 15.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Unyielding 6.00 3 6-1
5 4 Cardiff Hall 4.00 3 6-1
1 1 My Final Turn 8.00 3.6 7-1
8 7 Leopoldo 20.00 3.8 7-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Harper P M 10.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Sandy Bay 3.50 SCRATCH
2 2 Water Polo 3.00 1.3 2-1
9 7 Miracle Silver 6.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Donnie Brasco 4.00 2.4 5-1
4 3 Station Rock 8.00 2.6 5-1
10 8 Ginger Sky 10.00 2.6 5-1
6 4 Handsome Like Me 20.00 2.9 6-1
7 5 Bay of Rum 20.00 3.4 6-1
8 6 Eboracum 12.00 3.8 7-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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