Sports from the Basement

Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, May 18, 2019

May 18, 2019 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Dr. Troutman 4.00 1.1 2-1
9 9 Mongolian Greywolf 6.00 2.5 5-1
7 7 Combat Zone 3.50 2.5 5-1
4 4 Tartini 8.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Fast as Cass 5.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Taste’s Legend 20.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Soul Beam 12.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Big Sky Logan 8.00 4 8-1
3 3 Broke Away Grey 6.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 King Caymus 10.00 4.3 8-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Probable 12.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Meso 2.50 1.3 2-1
8 7 Thanks 3.50 1.7 3-1
9 8 Info’s Treasure 4.00 2 4-1
2 2 Lucky Brite Eye 4.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Hilltop Harmony 6.00 2.9 6-1
3 3 Sweetest Caroline 12.00 3.7 7-1
6 5 Witches Brew 15.00 3.8 7-1
7 6 Reds Sacred Appeal 20.00 4 8-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 G Q Covergirl 2.50 1.3 2-1
6 6 Left Alone (GB) 3.00 2 4-1
2 2 Kentan Road 4.00 2 4-1
4 4 Swirling 4.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 Point Hope (IRE) 4.00 3 6-1
1 1 Nice Ice 6.00 3 6-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Queen of the Track 6.00 SCRATCH
8 7 True Validity 1.80 1.3 2-1
7 6 Hot On the Trail 4.00 1.6 3-1
3 2 Time for Suzzie 5.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Smiling Rose 5.00 2.4 5-1
4 3 Interesting Times 5.00 2.7 5-1
5 4 All Tea All Shade 12.00 3.3 6-1
6 5 Boolicious 20.00 4.2 8-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
14 14 Accountability 15.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Bellerin 20.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Via Egnatia 5.00 2 4-1
2 2 Jungle Warfare 6.00 2.4 4-1
7 6 Colosi 3.50 2.4 5-1
9 8 The Street Fighter 8.00 2.5 5-1
11 10 Hardboot 8.00 2.8 5-1
8 7 Major Cabbie 10.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Jimmy Chila 6.00 3.6 7-1
13 12 Lifeline 12.00 4.3 8-1
12 11 Overdue 8.00 4.5 8-1
5 5 Alive and Well 15.00 5.1 10-1
10 9 Lomu 15.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 Cajun Treasure 20.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Posterize 2.50 1.9 4-1
10 10 Satchel Paige 3.00 2.6 5-1
8 8 Play Money 6.00 2.7 5-1
11 11 Twisted Plot 5.00 2.9 5-1
6 6 Big Barrel 6.00 2.9 5-1
5 5 Sidepocket Action 10.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Tiger On Your Six 10.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Dixie Doo Run Run 50.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Dynamic Duo 50.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Melbo 12.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Love and Hold 20.00 4.9 9-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Querelle 6.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Peter’s Kitten 3.50 1.9 4-1
8 7 Space Talk (GB) 4.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Silken Spy 4.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 Don’t Blame Judy 5.00 2.3 4-1
9 8 A Walk in the Park 5.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 An Eddie Surprise 8.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Aunt Lubie 20.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Qafilah (IRE) 20.00 4.1 8-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Lazaro Barrera S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Mucho Gusto 0.80 0.9 2-1
2 2 Sparky Ville 2.50 1.7 3-1
4 4 Vantastic 5.00 2.2 4-1
5 5 Manhattan Up 6.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 Principe Carlo 12.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Synthesis 12.00 3.6 7-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
14 14 Next Gen 3.50 1.4 3-1
11 11 Call You Tomorrow 4.00 2 4-1
2 2 Fortnite Dance 5.00 2 4-1
5 5 Don’tteasethetiger 8.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Golden Image 8.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 Deep Thinker (IRE) 10.00 4.2 8-1
9 9 King Charlie 12.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Royal Blue Grass 30.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Fort Dodge 30.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Carribean Colours 20.00 5.3 10-1
8 8 Mad At Money 20.00 5.5 10-1
10 10 Go Sammy Go 12.00 5.5 10-1
12 12 Muscle Head 8.00 5.7 11-1
13 13 Dieci 20.00 6.5 12-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Flying Flirt 20.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Bellize 6.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Claudelle 3.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Moreisbetter 2.50 SCRATCH
6 6 Barbadolla 4.00 1.3 3-1
10 10 Mo Me Mo My 3.50 1.7 3-1
2 2 Miss Hot Legs 5.00 2 4-1
8 8 Busy Paynter 6.00 3 6-1
1 1 Lucky Peridot 8.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Kiana’s Love 8.00 3.6 7-1
9 9 Pink Scatillac 6.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Girona 12.00 4 8-1
3 3 Super Bunny 12.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Saving Sophie 15.00 4.8 9-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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