Sports from the Basement

Pimlico Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, May 18, 2019

May 18, 2019 Pimlico Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 No Worries Mate 10.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Hay Boy 10.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Fernwood Drive 3.50 SCRATCH
1 1 Shelly Island 12.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 Friendly Fire 4.00 2.3 4-1
9 7 Cyclobomb 10.00 2.4 5-1
13 11 Creative Artist 6.00 2.8 5-1
8 6 Turnstyle 8.00 2.8 5-1
14 12 Eliav 12.00 3.1 6-1
11 9 Loudon’s Song 15.00 3.6 7-1
7 5 Second Encore 15.00 4.5 8-1
10 8 Top Hat Hustle 15.00 4.9 9-1
15 13 Itshouldbefine 20.00 5.3 10-1
5 4 Willie the Whale 20.00 5.3 10-1
12 10 Im the Game 50.00 6 11-1
3 3 Brooklyn Sardy 30.00 6.5 12-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Blame the Kids 15.00 SCRATCH
5 4 Liquid Aloha 4.00 1.9 4-1
7 6 Front Line Paige 6.00 1.9 4-1
9 8 Roman Approval 10.00 2.6 5-1
8 7 Nigel’s Destiny 6.00 2.7 5-1
10 9 Minister’s Strike 3.50 2.7 5-1
6 5 Sir Brahms 4.50 3.1 6-1
3 2 Whirlin Curlin 10.00 3.4 6-1
4 3 He’s One Wild Dude 12.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Huyana 20.00 5.2 10-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Sir Barton S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Pretty Good Year 10.00 SCRATCH
4 3 Top Line Growth 1.80 1.2 2-1
3 2 King for a Day 1.40 1.9 4-1
6 5 V. I. P. Ticket 12.00 2.1 4-1
5 4 Tone Broke 4.50 2.1 4-1
1 1 Trifor Gold 10.00 2.6 5-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
16 16 Veil Dance 30.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Not Sure 10.00 SCRATCH
9 8 Hip Hop 4.50 1.8 3-1
5 4 Misty On Pointe 4.00 2.2 4-1
14 13 Kitty’s Right 6.00 3.4 6-1
12 11 Salt Pond 8.00 3.5 7-1
4 3 Glittering Judy 10.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Ying Yue 10.00 3.9 7-1
6 5 Unbridled Escape 20.00 3.9 7-1
8 7 Sexyama 15.00 4.4 8-1
10 9 Elverson 10.00 4.6 9-1
3 2 Margie Is Livid 15.00 4.9 9-1
13 12 Umightbeanempress 20.00 5.4 10-1
7 6 Roman Holiday 30.00 5.6 11-1
15 14 Ms Eileen 30.00 5.8 11-1
11 10 River Gal 30.00 5.9 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – James W. Murphy S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Eons 6.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Empire of War 8.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Current 4.00 1.6 3-1
5 4 Real News 5.00 2.5 5-1
6 5 War Film 4.50 2.5 5-1
1 1 Shootin the Breeze 10.00 2.6 5-1
9 7 Tybalt 15.00 2.9 5-1
4 3 English Bee 5.00 3.1 6-1
7 6 Thomas Shelby 12.00 3.3 6-1
10 8 Gearhead 20.00 3.7 7-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Maryland Sprint S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Always Sunshine 5.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Lewisfield 1.80 1.1 2-1
6 5 Wentz 4.00 1.6 3-1
7 6 Proforma 3.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Fellowship 15.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 New York Central 6.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Parade of Nations 30.00 3.4 6-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Searching S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Osare 5.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Violet Blue 6.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Coachwhip 8.00 SCRATCH
5 3 Ickymasho (GB) 1.60 0.9 2-1
2 2 Homeland Security 4.50 1.7 3-1
8 6 Peach of a Gal 12.00 2.3 4-1
6 4 Vevina 12.00 2.4 5-1
7 5 Layla Noor 15.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 So Innocent 30.00 3.2 6-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 I’m an Ocala Dude 4.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Jefazo 10.00 1.7 3-1
5 5 Dirtyfoot 6.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 Articulator 2.50 1.9 4-1
9 8 Overdeliver 3.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Bozzini 10.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Maranatha 20.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 Passcode 12.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Day the Music Died 12.00 3.8 7-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – The Very One S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Jo Jo Air 3.00 1.2 2-1
8 8 Misericordia (GB) 4.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Dare to Be 6.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Souper Echo 4.50 2.7 5-1
9 9 Wild About Star 4.50 2.8 5-1
7 7 Angel At War 12.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Not in Jeopardy 12.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Eye On Berlin 10.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Bath And Tennis (IRE) 20.00 4.5 8-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Gallorette S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Hogans Holiday 15.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Inflexibility 3.00 1.2 2-1
8 7 Viva Vegas 5.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Mitchell Road 6.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 I’m So Fancy (IRE) 3.50 2.5 5-1
3 3 Thewayiam (FR) 10.00 2.8 5-1
9 8 Barkaa (FR) 6.00 3.7 7-1
7 6 In the Lee 10.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Dynatail 12.00 3.9 7-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Chick Lang S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Malpais 3.00 1.8 3-1
8 8 Preamble 2.50 1.8 3-1
7 7 Pyron 3.50 2.4 4-1
6 6 Gladiator King 6.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Still Dreaming 12.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Admiral Lynch 10.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Lexitonian 15.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Cabot 15.00 4.2 8-1
9 9 Confessor 15.00 4.6 9-1

RACE NUMBER 12 (Stakes) – Dixie S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Twenty Four Seven 20.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Flameaway 8.00 SCRATCH
11 9 Inspector Lynley 3.50 1.5 3-1
12 10 Catholic Boy 3.00 2.1 4-1
5 4 Have At It 6.00 2.7 5-1
7 5 Real Story 10.00 2.9 5-1
9 7 Something Awesome 15.00 2.9 5-1
2 1 Just Howard 10.00 3 6-1
8 6 Phlash Phelps 12.00 3.3 6-1
3 2 Admission Office 12.00 4.3 8-1
10 8 O Dionysus 15.00 4.4 8-1
4 3 Paret (AUS) 20.00 5.1 10-1

RACE NUMBER 13 (Stakes) – Preakness S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Improbable 2.50 1.9 4-1
1 1 War of Will 4.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 Alwaysmining 8.00 2.9 6-1
5 5 Owendale 10.00 2.9 6-1
2 2 Bourbon War 12.00 3.2 6-1
12 12 Anothertwistafate 6.00 3.3 6-1
13 13 Win Win Win 15.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Warrior’s Charge 12.00 3.7 7-1
8 8 Signalman 30.00 5 10-1
9 9 Bodexpress 20.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Market King 30.00 5.8 11-1
10 10 Everfast 50.00 6 11-1
11 11 Laughing Fox 20.00 6.1 12-1

RACE NUMBER 14 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Shackled Romance 6.00 SCRATCH
3 2 Glory Song 3.50 1.5 3-1
2 1 Enqueteur 4.00 1.6 3-1
8 7 Firecrow 4.00 1.9 4-1
4 3 Gnarly Mo 5.00 2.6 5-1
7 6 Runforthemunnings 10.00 2.7 5-1
5 4 Blessed Arion 12.00 3.4 6-1
9 8 Kneesinthebreeze 10.00 3.7 7-1
6 5 Abazillion 20.00 4.3 8-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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