Sports from the Basement

Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, May 18, 2019

May 18, 2019 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Mysterio 3.50 1.7 3-1
6 6 Krammy Boy 6.00 1.7 3-1
4 4 Rosas for Jimmy 4.00 2.6 5-1
7 7 Golden Prince 2.50 2.8 5-1
8 8 Zaman 6.00 3 6-1
1 1 My Computer 8.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Marnesia One Step 15.00 3.2 6-1
9 9 Gem Juan 15.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Sunshines Out 30.00 4.9 9-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Special Counsel 1.40 1.9 3-1
6 6 Schmiss 3.50 1.9 4-1
7 7 Flying Girl 30.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Galileo’s Affair 2.50 2.4 5-1
2 2 Motion’s First 6.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Flashing Diamond 8.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Kittian Hill 30.00 3.8 7-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Good Timing Man 20.00 SCRATCH
9 8 Youshouldbesolucky 2.00 1.4 3-1
6 5 Undaunted 3.50 1.8 3-1
10 9 Notorious Nick 4.50 1.9 4-1
8 7 Risk Reversal 15.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 Overwatch 6.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Ten Carat Daddy 15.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Well Written 15.00 3.7 7-1
7 6 Riley Rules 8.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Primo Posto 20.00 4.5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Forty’s Sweetheart 2.00 1.7 3-1
1 1 Trappe Me Later 4.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 Cuckoo Kenia 3.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Northern Wind 6.00 3 6-1
7 7 Liza Star 20.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 She Nailed It 8.00 3.3 6-1
8 8 Miss Surprise 15.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Dancing Noelle 8.00 3.5 7-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Kong Style 8.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Dunk 10.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Scotuscare 6.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Tiger Blood 2.50 1.2 2-1
1 1 Swagger 2.00 1.3 2-1
2 2 Very Colorful 4.50 2.4 4-1
5 5 Go Gone Gone 3.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Visions of You 8.00 2.9 6-1
3 3 Salambo 12.00 3.4 6-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Enduring Arch 30.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Gemologister 2.50 1 2-1
11 10 Gran Togoshi 6.00 2.1 4-1
6 5 K C Twostep 3.50 2.7 5-1
10 9 Plea Bargain 4.50 3 6-1
9 8 Fulgencio 10.00 3 6-1
1 1 Johnny Tickets 30.00 4 8-1
2 2 El Zeus 30.00 4.1 8-1
8 7 Early Deligh 15.00 4.2 8-1
7 6 Rigo 8.00 4.3 8-1
5 4 Captain Bober 30.00 4.3 8-1
12 11 Yale Deal 30.00 5.8 11-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Allaboutthebeach 20.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Nation U S A 20.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Perfect Enough 6.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Ifeelgood 20.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Drill Down 20.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Pescecane 2.50 1.8 3-1
7 7 King Leonardo 3.50 1.9 4-1
10 10 Wine At the Beach 6.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 Starship Fonzy 4.50 2.9 5-1
4 4 Scoobydoopapa 30.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Itsmyluckysummer 8.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Five Star Recruit 12.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Leaveittoquay 30.00 4.1 8-1
12 11 Prolific Runner 30.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 U. S. Coast Guard 20.00 4.9 9-1
9 9 Buzz On By 30.00 5.3 10-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Vinnie Van Go 10.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Oh Danny Bear 3.00 1.5 3-1
4 4 Steady Earner 2.50 2.1 4-1
3 3 Yodel E. A. Who 4.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Eights and Aces 8.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Logsdon 6.00 2.9 6-1
8 8 Followhisfootsteps 8.00 3 6-1
7 7 Rayo My King 30.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Eternal Cross 20.00 4.3 8-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
15 15 Shanghai Noon 8.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Armchair Jockey 6.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Zacapa Run 8.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Scatsuku 20.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Cat Prado 15.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Oskar Blues 6.00 2 4-1
2 2 Silver Beach 2.00 2.3 4-1
12 11 Crown Romance 4.50 3.3 6-1
6 6 Brag Dude 20.00 3.3 6-1
10 9 Live Like Larry 3.00 3.4 7-1
9 8 Ranger’s Coming 20.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 The Mighty Judge 20.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Best Thunder 12.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 El Chaval 30.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Osvaldo 30.00 4.5 9-1
11 10 More Than Teddy 30.00 4.6 9-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Musical Romance S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Oola Gal 15.00 SCRATCH
7 6 Stormy Embrace 1.80 1.6 3-1
4 4 Lady’s Island 4.50 1.7 3-1
8 7 Pure Lemon 8.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Starcloud 6.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Heiressall 6.00 2.9 5-1
5 5 Starship Bonita 6.00 3 6-1
2 2 Flora Fantasy 8.00 3.5 7-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Major Key 20.00 SCRATCH
11 10 Areyoutalkingtome 3.00 0.9 2-1
10 9 Arpinella 6.00 2.4 4-1
1 1 Lucky Fast 3.50 2.6 5-1
4 4 Marco Mischief 12.00 2.9 5-1
6 6 Spa Jazz 10.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Wigwam Summer 15.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 Cadillac Kitten 4.50 3.5 7-1
3 3 Schweets 30.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 America’s Simmard 10.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Lefty Comming 20.00 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
14 14 Chantilly Lilly 20.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Herecomestheghost 12.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Dillon’s Kitty 20.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Chief Bow No Move 15.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Dalal 2.50 SCRATCH
5 3 Queen Smart 30.00 SCRATCH
9 6 Sassy Lassy 8.00 1.8 3-1
4 2 Sierra Love 15.00 2 4-1
12 8 Backcat 3.00 2 4-1
13 9 Princess Latina 4.50 2 4-1
6 3 Lady Alidett 12.00 2.9 6-1
16 10 Elusive Aura 15.00 3.3 6-1
7 4 Golden Tiara 20.00 4 8-1
10 7 Blue Blue Ice 20.00 4.1 8-1
8 5 La Rubirosa 30.00 4.5 9-1
2 1 Kylesnorthernstar 30.00 4.9 9-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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