Sports from the Basement

Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, May 18, 2019

May 18, 2019 Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Indian Gulch 5.00 SCRATCH
5 4 High Five Cotton 1.50 0.9 2-1
1 1 Zitman 1.80 1.4 3-1
2 2 Dutch Blitz 8.00 2.1 4-1
4 3 The Robert 3.00 2.2 4-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Tazmonian Devil 10.00 SCRATCH
3 3 One Mission 1.40 1.2 2-1
6 5 Stunning Baby 8.00 1.7 3-1
2 2 My Lord 3.50 1.9 4-1
1 1 Daper’s Drink 2.50 2 4-1
4 4 Rocky Diplomat 8.00 2.7 5-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Drive On 12.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Devastating Move 8.00 SCRATCH
6 6 K D’s Cat Bird 8.00 SCRATCH
4 3 Magic Vow 1.60 1.4 3-1
1 1 Monkey’s Medal 12.00 1.6 3-1
5 4 Ox Bro 2.00 1.7 3-1
3 2 Promote 5.00 1.9 4-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Prestons Princess 3.50 1.5 3-1
5 5 Crystal Pier 1.80 1.8 3-1
4 4 Polarization 1.50 2.1 4-1
6 6 Benchmark Babe 8.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 Gimme Kimmy 10.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Andrea’s Hope 12.00 3 6-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Waiver Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1A 6 Brother Tez 8.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Cape Lookout 2.00 1.8 3-1
3 3 Powerful Venezuela 8.00 1.9 4-1
6 6 Petion Night 6.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Fact of War 4.00 2.2 4-1
7 7 Hardcore Folklore 3.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Threethehardway 8.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Code Name Brody 10.00 3.8 7-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Noontime Salsa 6.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Blackshear 8.00 SCRATCH
4 2 King Nekia 1.80 1 2-1
2 1 Star Fitzstall 2.50 1.5 3-1
5 3 Dig In 3.50 1.7 3-1
6 4 Proud Ruler 8.00 2.4 5-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Mr. Top Fleet 2.50 1.3 3-1
1 1 Just Flashy 3.50 1.5 3-1
6 6 Rhettbutler 1.80 1.6 3-1
2 2 Stormy Forecast 8.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Poppy’s Two Step 8.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 Nuclear Code 6.00 2.9 5-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Purrs Again 6.00 SCRATCH
7 6 Train Game 2.00 1.7 3-1
5 4 Avante Light 8.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 Brazen Dancer 8.00 2 4-1
4 3 Small Hope 4.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 Warrior’s Delight 3.00 2.2 4-1
6 5 Confusion 10.00 3 6-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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